FA Cup 1/256
Global 3-5
Kettering Town vs Buxton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
KET
0 - 0
CHE
46%
24%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
KET
2 - 0
LEA
42%
25%
34%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LEA
3 - 3
KET
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
KET
1 - 2
SPE
27%
24%
49%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
KET
2 - 0
SPA
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Buxton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 3
BUX
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RAD
2 - 3
BUX
16%
22%
62%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BUX
4 - 1
WHI
59%
21%
20%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 6
BUX
17%
20%
63%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
GAI
0 - 0
BUX
19%
24%
57%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |