Kerry FC vs Treaty United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
6%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
75.4%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.8%
0-2
15.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+497%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
10º
10º
44
6º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 0
KEF
81%
14%
5%
|
7 | 67 | 60 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
BRW
3 - 2
KEF
93%
6%
2%
|
7 | 47 | 40 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
ATH
6%
13%
81%
|
7 | 50 | 43 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 6
WAT
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 69 | 62 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 0
KEF
87%
10%
3%
|
6 | 50 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Treaty United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
BRW
54%
23%
22%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 2
TRE
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
TRE
0 - 1
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 1
WEX
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
WAT
7 - 0
TRE
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |