Kerry FC vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
54.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+83%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
10º
10º
24
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 57 |
2º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
42% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 53 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 49 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 44 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
8º
|
47% | |
|
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
9º
|
47% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
10º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
UCD
2 - 1
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 1
TRE
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | +2 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
COB
1 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 55 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
KEF
2 - 0
FIN
15%
20%
65%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 0
KEF
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 56 | 32 | -1 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
LON
69%
21%
10%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2024 |
WEX
2 - 2
LON
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
TRE
1 - 0
LON
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LON
0 - 0
COB
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LON
1 - 1
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |