Kerry FC vs Longford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
75.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+575%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
10º
10º
40
6º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 3
BRW
6%
12%
83%
|
8 | 45 | 37 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 1
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
DRO
6%
11%
83%
|
8 | 59 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
WEX
3 - 2
KEF
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 51 | 43 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
KEF
2 - 2
COB
8%
17%
76%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Longford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LON
1 - 0
GAL
13%
23%
65%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 1
LON
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
LON
2 - 3
ATH
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2023 |
BRW
2 - 4
LON
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
LON
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |