Kerry FC vs Finn Harps analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.2%
81%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.9%
0-3
13.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
17.3%
0-4
8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.6%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+497%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
10º
10º
37
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
LON
2 - 0
KEF
88%
9%
3%
|
6 | 50 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 1
ATH
3%
8%
90%
|
6 | 47 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
WEX
2 - 1
KEF
91%
7%
2%
|
6 | 55 | 49 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
GAL
9 - 1
KEF
78%
16%
6%
|
7 | 61 | 54 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
KEF
1 - 1
TRE
5%
15%
81%
|
6 | 52 | 46 | +1 |
Matches
Finn Harps
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
WAT
7 - 1
FIN
73%
17%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
FIN
2 - 2
COB
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
LON
0 - 1
FIN
44%
25%
30%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 0
WEX
34%
26%
41%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
FIN
1 - 1
BRW
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |