Kerry FC vs Cork City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+588%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
8º
10º
9º
49
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 76 |
1º
|
97% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 58 |
2º
|
46.5% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 57 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 50 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 49 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 47 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 43 |
8º
|
52% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 28 |
9º
|
52% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 26 |
10º
|
55.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 97% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
2 - 0
KEF
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 2
ATH
14%
19%
67%
|
24 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
KEF
78%
14%
8%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
3 - 0
LON
14%
21%
66%
|
12 | 49 | 37 | +12 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
KEF
91%
6%
3%
|
11 | 47 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Cork City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 2
CAO
23%
26%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LON
1 - 4
CAO
16%
25%
60%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
0 - 0
CAO
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
CAO
3 - 0
COB
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
WEX
1 - 1
CAO
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |