Kerry FC vs Cobh Ramblers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
10º
9º
35
5º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 60 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 57 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 55 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 52 |
5º
|
47.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 50 |
6º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 45 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 40 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 27 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 25 |
10º
|
71.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 97.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 3
KEF
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
CAO
2 - 0
KEF
65%
23%
12%
|
34 | 68 | 34 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
COB
0 - 2
KEF
76%
16%
9%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
KEF
3 - 3
BRW
21%
23%
56%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 0
KEF
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Cobh Ramblers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
COB
1 - 0
LON
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
COB
1 - 2
ATH
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
COB
0 - 2
KEF
76%
16%
9%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
WEX
3 - 0
COB
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 1
COB
39%
26%
36%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |