Kerry FC vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
67.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
10º
10º
55
1º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
TRE
0 - 0
KEF
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
KEF
3 - 0
LON
14%
21%
66%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | +12 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
UCD
1 - 1
KEF
91%
6%
3%
|
12 | 48 | 36 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
KEF
1 - 1
WEX
12%
20%
68%
|
12 | 55 | 43 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FIN
0 - 0
KEF
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 52 | 41 | +1 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
FIN
35%
25%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
BRW
3 - 0
ATH
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
TRE
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
CAO
1 - 0
ATH
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 3
LON
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |