Kerry FC vs Athlone Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.6%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
80.7%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.5%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.4%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
10º
10º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
94 | 94 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kerry FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 6
WAT
9%
17%
74%
|
7 | 69 | 62 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 0
KEF
87%
10%
3%
|
6 | 50 | 44 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 6
WEX
6%
15%
79%
|
6 | 50 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
KEF
0 - 2
BRW
7%
16%
77%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 3
KEF
93%
5%
2%
|
6 | 49 | 43 | +1 |
Matches
Athlone Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
BRW
58%
21%
21%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 0
LON
47%
23%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
GAL
3 - 1
ATH
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
COB
2 - 2
ATH
34%
24%
42%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 3
KEF
93%
5%
2%
|
49 | 6 | 43 | 0 |