Kercem Ajax vs Marsaskala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kercem Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 2
KER
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
KER
0 - 3
MAR
17%
20%
63%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
KER
1 - 4
SIR
12%
18%
70%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
KER
2 - 1
FUN
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
KER
5 - 0
MUN
87%
10%
3%
|
41 | 8 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
VIT
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SAI
2 - 2
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
ATT
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FUN
2 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 2
MAR
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |