Kentucky vs Marshall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
54.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kentucky
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FAU
1 - 3
KTW
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
KTW
1 - 2
CLT
32%
22%
47%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
IDH
3 - 0
KTW
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
KTW
2 - 1
LYR
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Marshall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
MTH
1 - 0
FIP
62%
19%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SCL
0 - 2
MTH
14%
18%
68%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MTH
1 - 4
WAH
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MTH
2 - 1
WVM
54%
21%
26%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |