Kematen vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
66.4%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
12º
8º
39
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
STJ
2 - 4
KEM
46%
22%
33%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
KEM
3 - 2
FUG
6%
15%
79%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | +4 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
KUN
3 - 0
KEM
53%
22%
25%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
EBB
4 - 2
KEM
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
KEM
1 - 3
WIN
4%
11%
85%
|
24 | 60 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
EBB
81%
12%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
KIT
0 - 0
WAT
31%
24%
45%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
WAT
3 - 0
FCV
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
WOR
1 - 3
WAT
33%
23%
45%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
WAT
1 - 2
TEL
38%
24%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |