Kematen vs Reichenau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KEM
1 - 2
IMS
45%
24%
32%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 2
KEM
57%
20%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
KEM
2 - 3
SVK
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
REU
1 - 3
KEM
52%
22%
27%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
KEM
2 - 0
MOT
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Reichenau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
REI
1 - 1
UNI
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SVK
1 - 2
REI
19%
20%
61%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
REI
1 - 2
REU
80%
12%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 1
REI
16%
19%
65%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
REI
5 - 3
SCH
65%
18%
17%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |