Kematen vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
4º
10º
4º
27
4º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 2
UNI
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 1
KEM
30%
22%
48%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 3
VOL
48%
23%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 5
CSK
7%
17%
76%
|
24 | 76 | 52 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 6
KEM
29%
22%
50%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
KIR
2 - 2
STJ
36%
23%
41%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
VOL
3 - 1
KIR
72%
16%
13%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
KIR
1 - 0
WIN
7%
16%
77%
|
17 | 63 | 46 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 6
KEM
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SCM
3 - 3
KIR
72%
15%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |