Kematen vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kematen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
KEM
1 - 1
TEL
20%
21%
59%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
MOT
4 - 0
KEM
32%
23%
45%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
KEM
3 - 1
ZIR
34%
21%
45%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
KEM
1 - 1
SVI
41%
23%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2017 |
KEM
3 - 0
FUG
62%
20%
18%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
KIR
1 - 2
HAL
52%
21%
26%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
SVZ
3 - 4
KIR
11%
14%
75%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KIR
3 - 1
STJ
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
REI
8 - 1
KIR
71%
16%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
KIR
2 - 4
IMS
53%
22%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |