Kelty Hearts vs Queen of the South analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
7º
32
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 2.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22.5% | 32% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 56.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
3 - 2
ARB
36%
27%
37%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
COV
0 - 0
KHE
51%
23%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 2
ALL
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ELG
3 - 2
KHE
25%
22%
53%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 2
KHE
41%
24%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
QOS
2 - 1
STE
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
QOS
42%
24%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
DUM
2 - 1
QOS
37%
26%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
QOS
1 - 1
ALL
27%
24%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |