Kelty Hearts vs Inverness CT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
8º
6º
7
2º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
10 | 62 |
1º
|
40% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 62 |
2º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 53 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 53 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 50 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
9 | 46 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 44 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 41 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 33 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 29% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
27% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 18% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 3
KHE
34%
25%
41%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 0
STE
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
KHE
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
QUE
6 - 0
KHE
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 1
PET
52%
23%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Inverness CT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 1
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BLA
1 - 0
ICT
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ICT
1 - 1
DUM
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
DUN
6 - 0
ICT
67%
18%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 0
ARB
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |