Kelty Hearts vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+56%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
8º
7º
34
1º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
34 | 59 |
1º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 59 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
|
3º
|
34 | 55 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
35 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 50 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 47 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 41 |
8º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 39 |
9º
|
25.5% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
10º
|
41.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 13.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
22.5% | 51% |
|
Mid-table
|
66% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
COV
0 - 0
KHE
51%
23%
27%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
KHE
0 - 2
ALL
28%
26%
46%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ELG
3 - 2
KHE
25%
22%
53%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BLA
0 - 2
KHE
41%
24%
36%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
KHE
2 - 0
DUM
45%
25%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ICT
0 - 2
ARB
52%
26%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
QOS
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
0 - 1
QOS
42%
24%
33%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ARB
2 - 1
COV
36%
25%
39%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
ARB
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |