1954 Kelkit Belediyespor vs Muğlaspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
5º
11º
9º
31
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 59 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 59 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
30 | 54 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 48 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 46 |
6º
|
18.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 46 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 44 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
22 | 40 |
9º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 32 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 32 |
13º
|
23.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
30.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
37.5% | |
|
16º
|
7 | 21 |
16º
|
63% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 5% |
|
Next round
|
13% | 61.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 33% |
|
Relegation
|
4.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1954 Kelkit Belediyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SIL
1 - 1
KEL
70%
20%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
KEL
1 - 1
MAZ
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 2
USA
46%
26%
29%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 0
KEL
40%
29%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
KEL
0 - 0
KEP
9%
15%
76%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Muğlaspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 0
USA
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
FAT
4 - 0
MUL
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 0
TUR
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 16 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
IKG
2 - 3
MUL
38%
23%
39%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
MUL
1 - 1
ASK
40%
24%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |