Keith vs Strathspey Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+167%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
18º
15º
10
16º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 0
KEI
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
4 - 3
KEI
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 2
CUM
80%
13%
8%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 0
FOR
10%
16%
74%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +4 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KEI
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Strathspey Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 11
BRO
3%
9%
87%
|
14 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
2 - 0
STR
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
STR
2 - 2
INV
7%
13%
80%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | +3 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STR
0 - 5
CAM
24%
19%
58%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STR
0 - 5
BRE
5%
14%
82%
|
13 | 50 | 37 | 0 |