Keith vs Formartine United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
KEI
5 - 1
ROT
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 6 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NAI
6 - 1
KEI
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
KEI
1 - 3
FOR
16%
19%
65%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
INV
3 - 0
KEI
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CLA
4 - 2
KEI
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Formartine United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
4 - 2
LOS
83%
12%
5%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 1
FOR
72%
17%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
WIC
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
BUC
2 - 3
FOR
26%
25%
49%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
STR
1 - 5
FOR
9%
16%
75%
|
47 | 10 | 37 | +1 |