Keith vs Buckie Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.7%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
84.8%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.8%
0-5
5.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
7%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.3%
0-7
1.1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.5%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
10º
18º
15º
87
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 1
NAI
41%
22%
37%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
3 - 0
KEI
78%
13%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BRE
5 - 0
KEI
89%
9%
2%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KEI
6 - 1
STR
78%
13%
9%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
LOS
2 - 0
KEI
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 0
FOR
86%
10%
4%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
1 - 3
BFC
79%
13%
8%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ROT
2 - 4
BUC
11%
16%
74%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 2
BAN
74%
16%
11%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
CLA
1 - 4
BUC
5%
11%
84%
|
52 | 23 | 29 | 0 |