Kehler FV vs Freiberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kehler FV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
BAL
2 - 1
KEH
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
KEH
0 - 0
AST
20%
23%
57%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KEH
0 - 3
SGS
19%
24%
58%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
KIR
2 - 1
KEH
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
KEH
0 - 0
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Freiberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
FRE
2 - 1
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
HOF
2 - 0
FRE
60%
22%
18%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
VFR
1 - 2
FRE
23%
24%
53%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
FRE
0 - 1
NOR
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
ILL
2 - 2
FRE
40%
24%
36%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |