Keflavik vs Thór analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
VIK
2 - 1
KEF
24%
24%
52%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
KEF
2 - 3
KRR
27%
25%
47%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2011 |
FRA
1 - 0
KEF
43%
25%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
KEF
1 - 1
BRE
49%
25%
27%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
KEF
54%
24%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thór
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
THO
1 - 2
BRE
41%
25%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
VAL
2 - 1
THO
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
THO
2 - 0
FYL
44%
24%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
IBV
3 - 1
THO
64%
22%
15%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
THO
0 - 0
GRI
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |