Keflavik vs Fram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 1
KEF
40%
24%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2004 |
GRI
3 - 2
KEF
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2004 |
KEF
0 - 2
IAA
35%
26%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2004 |
IBV
4 - 0
KEF
56%
23%
21%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
KEF
1 - 0
VIK
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 1
KEF
40%
24%
36%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 2
FHH
30%
25%
45%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2004 |
KRR
3 - 0
FRA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2004 |
FRA
0 - 1
KAA
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2004 |
FRA
1 - 1
FYL
39%
26%
36%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |