UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Keflavik vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keflavik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2006 |
FYL
2 - 1
KEF
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2006 |
KEF
0 - 1
IAA
48%
25%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2006 |
FHH
2 - 1
KEF
66%
20%
14%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
KEF
3 - 0
KRR
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
GRI
1 - 1
KEF
36%
25%
38%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
GLE
3 - 1
DUN
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2006 |
DUN
6 - 1
COL
63%
21%
17%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2006 |
CLI
0 - 3
DUN
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
DUN
1 - 1
NEW
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ARD
3 - 3
DUN
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |