Kecskeméti vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6º
12º
11º
28
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 58 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 55 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 52 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 51 |
5º
|
17% | |
|
|
6º
|
28 | 49 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 41 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 40 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
8º
|
22 | 37 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 33 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 32 |
12º
|
37% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 17% |
|
Mid-table
|
31% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation
|
69% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kecskeméti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
DIO
1 - 0
KTE
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
KTE
2 - 1
GYO
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
KTE
1 - 1
DVS
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
KTE
51%
24%
24%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
KTE
0 - 0
FHV
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
UJP
3 - 0
DVS
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FTC
1 - 0
UJP
59%
23%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UJP
4 - 1
FHV
33%
26%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PAK
2 - 1
UJP
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UJP
1 - 2
PUS
35%
26%
39%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |