Kecskeméti vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
6º
12º
12º
30
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 58 |
1º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
35 | 54 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 53 |
3º
|
14% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 53 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
30 | 52 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 50 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 46 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 38 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 37 |
9º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 34 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
9º
|
18 | 34 |
11º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
14 | 33 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 7% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 34.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 58.5% |
|
Relegation
|
59.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kecskeméti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
KTE
1 - 0
ZTE
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
KPT
3 - 0
KTE
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
TER
2 - 1
KTE
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
JAB
2 - 1
KTE
62%
21%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
KTE
3 - 2
FLK
68%
19%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
FTC
0 - 0
MTK
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MTK
3 - 0
TAT
87%
9%
4%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
MOT
1 - 1
MTK
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2025 |
NOV
0 - 3
MTK
41%
23%
37%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
UCL
1 - 2
MTK
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |