Keciorengucu vs Erzincan Refahiyespor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Keciorengucu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
IST
1 - 1
KEC
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
KEC
4 - 2
MEN
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TUZ
2 - 1
KEC
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
KEC
4 - 0
KIR
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
YEN
1 - 1
KEC
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Erzincan Refahiyespor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 0
BEL
18%
25%
58%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
KOC
2 - 1
ERZ
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 2
DEN
41%
27%
32%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2014 |
ANA
2 - 1
ERZ
48%
26%
27%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ERZ
1 - 1
KAY
48%
25%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |