KCB vs Tusker FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KCB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
GOR
0 - 0
KCB
46%
28%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
KCB
4 - 1
KAK
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
KCB
1 - 0
ULI
59%
26%
15%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
POS
0 - 3
KCB
32%
30%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 2
KCB
23%
27%
51%
|
66 | 25 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Tusker FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
1 - 1
ULI
62%
25%
13%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TUS
3 - 1
TLT
59%
25%
17%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
TUS
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 2
KAK
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
KAS
3 - 2
TUS
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |