KCB vs Mara Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4373%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
7º
5º
22
2º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 63 |
1º
|
42% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 62 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 59 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 55 |
4º
|
20% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 55 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 54 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 51 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 47 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 44 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 39 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 39 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
17º
|
18 | 37 |
13º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 36 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 36 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 36 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
17º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 35 |
18º
|
19.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
94.5% | 50.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 11% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 38.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KCB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 0
KCB
27%
29%
45%
|
69 | 33 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
KCB
0 - 0
SOF
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BAN
1 - 1
KCB
42%
29%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
KCB
0 - 0
BFC
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
POL
1 - 1
KCB
51%
27%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mara Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
MSU
1 - 0
KAS
21%
25%
55%
|
17 | 63 | 46 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
TLT
2 - 0
MSU
76%
15%
9%
|
17 | 56 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
POL
1 - 0
MSU
73%
17%
10%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
MSU
0 - 2
GOR
19%
24%
57%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
TUS
2 - 1
MSU
66%
21%
13%
|
17 | 69 | 52 | 0 |