Kazakhstan U21 vs Sweden U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kazakhstan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
KAZ
1 - 2
ISR
26%
25%
50%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
BGR
3 - 0
KAZ
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
KAZ
0 - 2
MNE
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
KAZ
2 - 0
BGR
29%
25%
46%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
ISR
1 - 1
KAZ
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2009 |
SWE
2 - 1
BGR
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MNE
0 - 2
SWE
20%
24%
56%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
DEN
2 - 4
SWE
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
ENG
3 - 3
SWE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
SRB
1 - 3
SWE
50%
24%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |