Kayserispor vs Sivasspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
35.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
12º
16º
16º
8
4º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 72 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 64 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 60 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 56 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 54 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 53 |
6º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 51 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 51 |
8º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 49 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 49 |
10º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 47 |
11º
|
5.5% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 47 |
12º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 47 |
13º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 46 |
14º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 45 |
15º
|
7% | |
|
|
15º
|
3 | 44 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 37 |
17º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 37 |
18º
|
21% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 33 |
19º
|
34.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0.5% | 1.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 3.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
1.5% | 5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
64% | 75% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 6% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2024 |
KAY
1 - 3
SAM
48%
25%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SIV
2 - 1
KAY
48%
25%
27%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
KAY
2 - 2
KON
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FEN
3 - 0
KAY
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KAY
2 - 2
FAT
40%
26%
35%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Sivasspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SIV
0 - 0
TRA
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ERZ
0 - 1
SIV
19%
23%
59%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2024 |
SIV
1 - 2
FKN
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
SIV
2 - 1
KAY
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
IST
1 - 3
SIV
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |