Cup 1/16
Global 6-5
Kayserispor vs Manisa FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2019 |
BJK
4 - 1
KAY
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
KAY
1 - 4
SIV
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 1
KAY
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
KAY
1 - 0
FEN
22%
25%
54%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2019 |
KAY
2 - 0
BAY
84%
12%
4%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Manisa FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
KIR
0 - 0
MAN
22%
27%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
3 - 0
DIY
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
COR
0 - 2
MAN
21%
27%
51%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
AAF
0 - 2
MAN
36%
27%
37%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 0
TAR
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |