Kayserispor vs İstanbul Başakşehir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
KAY
2 - 0
SAM
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
KAY
44%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
KAY
2 - 0
MAN
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
ORD
1 - 0
KAY
32%
28%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
KAY
3 - 3
TRA
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
İstanbul Başakşehir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MER
2 - 0
IST
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
IST
1 - 0
KAY
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GAZ
5 - 0
IST
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IST
4 - 0
ANT
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
BUR
2 - 1
IST
50%
26%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |