Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2015 |
KAY
3 - 0
SAN
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
KAR
2 - 1
KAY
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2014 |
BAY
3 - 0
KAY
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
KAY
1 - 0
ELA
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2014 |
KAY
2 - 2
BAY
85%
11%
4%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
KAS
0 - 3
FEN
34%
25%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2015 |
ALT
1 - 2
FEN
14%
22%
64%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2015 |
ALA
2 - 2
FEN
16%
23%
61%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
FEN
2 - 0
IST
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 0
MER
74%
17%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |