Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.2%
+1
5.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.8%
74.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
19.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
27.3%
0-2
18.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
23.5%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1996 |
KAY
3 - 2
NIG
89%
9%
3%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
BUG
2 - 1
KAY
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
IST
5 - 2
KAY
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
KAY
4 - 0
ABK
85%
11%
4%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1996 |
KAY
1 - 2
TRA
6%
19%
74%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1996 |
FEN
2 - 2
ALT
88%
9%
3%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1996 |
GAL
2 - 0
FEN
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1996 |
DEN
0 - 2
FEN
11%
22%
67%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
FEN
2 - 2
GAZ
88%
9%
4%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1996 |
BJK
1 - 2
FEN
50%
24%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |