Kayserispor vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
12.6%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
17.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
30.6%
53.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
21.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
28.8%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.2%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayserispor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
KAY
1 - 1
MAL
40%
30%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
DEN
0 - 0
KAY
60%
25%
15%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
KAY
0 - 1
ALT
46%
31%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
SAM
3 - 0
KAY
64%
22%
13%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
KAY
1 - 1
SAR
42%
29%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
DEN
2 - 1
FEN
23%
31%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1985 |
FEN
1 - 0
ALT
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
SAM
4 - 0
FEN
28%
30%
42%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
FEN
2 - 0
SAR
71%
19%
10%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
KOC
1 - 0
FEN
22%
31%
47%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |