Kayseri vs Fenerbahçe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
58.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kayseri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
KAY
1 - 3
GEN
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
ALT
3 - 1
KAY
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
KAY
3 - 1
BJK
10%
22%
68%
|
48 | 85 | 37 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
GAZ
4 - 0
KAY
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
FEN
3 - 2
KAY
89%
8%
3%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Fenerbahçe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1993 |
FEN
4 - 1
KAR
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1993 |
GEN
1 - 1
FEN
18%
24%
59%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1993 |
FEN
4 - 3
ANK
85%
11%
5%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1993 |
ALT
1 - 2
FEN
19%
23%
58%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1993 |
FEN
3 - 2
KAY
89%
8%
3%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |