Kawasaki Frontale vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
4.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
SAG
2 - 3
KAW
16%
25%
58%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
KAW
4 - 1
URA
46%
24%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
KAW
5 - 0
VIS
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
GAM
1 - 1
KAW
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
KAW
2 - 0
TOC
90%
8%
2%
|
70 | 26 | 44 | +1 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 0
THE
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
KYO
1 - 0
THE
62%
23%
15%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
THE
0 - 4
OIT
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
REN
1 - 2
THE
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
THE
0 - 2
MAT
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |