Kawasaki Frontale vs Melbourne Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kawasaki Frontale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
FCY
4 - 0
KAW
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NAG
2 - 3
KAW
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
KAW
1 - 3
BEI
60%
22%
19%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
KAW
2 - 1
ALB
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
SEO
2 - 0
KAW
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Melbourne Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
1 - 1
SYD
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2010 |
MEL
0 - 2
SEO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -3 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
SYD
2 - 2
MEL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2010 |
BEI
1 - 0
MEL
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
MEL
2 - 1
SYD
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |