Kavala vs Panegialios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 1
AOK
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
AOK
1 - 1
APS
53%
25%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
AOK
1 - 3
OLY
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
ETH
1 - 0
AOK
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
AOK
1 - 4
HAL
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Panegialios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
PAN
3 - 0
KER
27%
28%
45%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
ATR
0 - 0
PAN
68%
20%
12%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
PAN
1 - 1
FOS
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
KAS
2 - 0
PAN
67%
20%
13%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
ATH
1 - 1
PAN
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |