Kavala vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 2
AOK
48%
27%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
AOK
2 - 1
ANA
70%
20%
10%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
ANA
0 - 1
AOK
18%
26%
56%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
AOK
0 - 1
PAN
57%
27%
17%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2013 |
KAL
2 - 2
AOK
37%
28%
36%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2013 |
IRA
1 - 0
XAN
23%
27%
50%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
TYR
1 - 1
IRA
18%
22%
60%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 2
PGE
70%
21%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 0
IRA
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
IRA
3 - 1
ANA
73%
19%
8%
|
66 | 32 | 34 | 0 |