Kavala vs Iraklis Thessaloniki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
48.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
PIE
1 - 1
AOK
23%
29%
48%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AOK
1 - 3
APS
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
IRA
2 - 0
AOK
31%
30%
40%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AOK
0 - 0
ERG
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
AOK
1 - 0
NIK
63%
24%
13%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Iraklis Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 1
KAL
75%
19%
6%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
DOX
0 - 2
IRA
13%
25%
62%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
PIE
0 - 1
IRA
10%
23%
67%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 1
APS
74%
19%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2013 |
IRA
0 - 3
IRA
18%
28%
54%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |