Kavala vs Ilysiakos AO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
13.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
OLY
0 - 0
AOK
33%
29%
38%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
AOK
4 - 1
AGR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2009 |
VER
1 - 1
AOK
36%
29%
35%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
AOK
2 - 2
ETH
64%
22%
14%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
KAS
2 - 2
AOK
25%
27%
48%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ilysiakos AO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ILI
3 - 0
KAL
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ETH
1 - 1
ILI
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ILI
1 - 2
APO
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ILI
2 - 1
DIA
22%
25%
53%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
KER
2 - 0
ILI
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |