Kavala vs Ethnikos Asteras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
PRO
1 - 0
AOK
43%
25%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
AOK
1 - 1
PAN
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
OFI
4 - 0
AOK
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
AOK
2 - 1
VER
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
PAN
1 - 1
AOK
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ethnikos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1999 |
ETH
0 - 1
ARI
36%
26%
37%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
ION
5 - 0
ETH
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1999 |
ETH
1 - 0
PAO
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 1999 |
PAN
2 - 0
ETH
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
PRO
3 - 0
ETH
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |