Kavala vs Athinaikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
APS
2 - 1
AOK
30%
27%
44%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
OLY
2 - 1
AOK
30%
26%
43%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
AOK
5 - 0
FCM
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
APL
1 - 2
AOK
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
AOK
2 - 0
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Athinaikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
ATH
0 - 0
KER
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
ATR
1 - 0
ATH
70%
18%
11%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
OLY
2 - 2
ATH
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 2
GIA
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2002 |
PAN
0 - 1
ATH
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |