Kavala vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 1
AOK
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
AOK
2 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
3 - 2
AOK
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
AOK
1 - 0
XAN
34%
26%
40%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
OFI
2 - 2
AOK
74%
17%
9%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
APS
1 - 2
KAL
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
APS
2 - 1
PAN
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2000 |
PRO
2 - 0
APS
45%
28%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2000 |
APS
0 - 0
PAN
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2000 |
XAN
2 - 0
APS
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |