Kavala vs Apollon Smyrnis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
36%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 1997 |
PAN
3 - 0
AOK
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
AOK
1 - 1
PAN
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
PAN
4 - 1
AOK
80%
13%
7%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
AOK
2 - 3
ION
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
IRA
3 - 2
AOK
67%
19%
14%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Smyrnis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1997 |
APS
0 - 5
OLP
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1997 |
APS
1 - 0
PRO
66%
20%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
PAO
1 - 0
APS
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
APS
1 - 2
XAN
52%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
OFI
2 - 1
APS
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |