Kavala vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2000 |
TRI
3 - 1
AOK
37%
27%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2000 |
AOK
0 - 1
KAL
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
AOK
1 - 3
APS
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
1 - 1
AOK
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2000 |
AOK
2 - 1
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2000 |
AEK
3 - 0
ION
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
AEK
3 - 0
APS
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2000 |
PAN
0 - 2
AEK
35%
26%
40%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2000 |
AEK
3 - 2
PRO
82%
13%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
PAN
2 - 1
AEK
38%
25%
38%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |